In-Stat pumping forecasts Wireless HD Video market

Pumping even more ABI Research's forecast of "two million 60 GHz chipset shipments in 2015", In-Stat is going all-in with their forecast of "wireless HD video-enabled device shipments...to about 13 million by 2014". From the article:

Brian O’Rourke, Principal Analyst.  “Most semiconductor players pursuing this space plan to move out from HDTVs to other CE devices, like set-top boxes, blue laser players and recorders, and digital cameras.”

The only problem with this, besides replacing a $10 HDMI cable with a $600 pair of hot boxes might not be a good idea, is Wireless HD cannot "move out from HDTV", is, as the article points out, "HD video-enabled device shipments [are] almost nothing at present".


This insightful study is available for $3,495 U.S. Dollars from the Insite website. HAN Fan is sure that Insite will make money on the study as the proponents of this cable replacement technology will surely use it to pump their numbers with VCs.

60GHz goes into hiding until 2015

According to this report by iTWire, the IEEE working group 802.11ad "has just started to hear proposals and so we expect it to be 2-3 years to a draft standard…Our expectation is that the years for 60GHz commercialisation will be 2012 to 2015 and beyond."

This aligns quite nicely with ABI Research study of nearly two million 60 GHz chipset shipments in 2015.

HAN Fan is thinking that there is no need to follow 60GHz for the next two years. This makes HAN Fan sad.

The good news, is somebody (NICTA) is thinking of a betterdifferent use for 60Ghz.

"What Sibeam [WirelessHD] has done is focus on HDMI cable replacement. ... Replacing a cable that you only have to install once with wireless does not make a lot of sense"

NICTA thinks 60GHz makes sense "when you want to send a video from your mobile to you TV"

60 GHz Cable Replacement not here yet.

According to an ABI Research study reported by Earth Times, there will be "nearly two million 60 GHz chipset shipments in 2015"--a bit less than the number of HomePlug AV chips shipping today--per month!

Seems that today the "disadvantages inhibit WirelessHD’s adoption and negate its first-to-market advantage. First, the transmitters and receivers are expensive, in the $600-1000 range. They are also power-hungry."

Replacing a $10 HDMI cable with a $600 pair of hot boxes might not be a good idea.

Too many players new "Wireless Video Connectivity Report" study shows

Checkout the alphabet soup, (Bluetooth, UWB, IEEE 802.11, and 60 GHz. TransferJet, Wireless USB, WirelessHD, Wi-Di, WHDI, WiGig, and High Speed Bluetooth) from a new 2010 Study on
"Wireless Video Connectivity Report", by Research and Markets.

Not sure how quickly they will converge on a solution. And why is there no mention of powerline solutions.

SiBeam takes 60 GHz a step forward

EE Times has an article declaring 60 GHz chips "No longer expensive, hot and noisy".

They have two out of three right, maybe.

SiBeam done a shrink of their chip's semi  technology from 90 to 65 nm. EE Times says that this has cut power consumption nearly in half. Excellent progress, and the fact the fans are no longer needed is poof of the progress. We still need to see actual consumption.

Now the price is another matter. The shrink for sure reduces the price, but "adapters costing less than $200" is not cheap. Even forgetting you need two of these chips to have a solution, can anybody really see DVD and TV manufactures adding one of these chips to their product--to replace a $20 cable?

While promising, this technology still needs 2-3 years of development and another shrink.

New HAN Standards War: Gbps Wireless

Standards wars are so much fun to watch, and we have one in our little old HAN world:

"cable replacement Gbps wireless which wants to do whole house video"

Notwithstanding previously noted previously expressed views on cable replacement, wireless is useful for some HAN applications (actually WiFi is very useful on a notebook PC), so lets see who are the players:

• WirelessHD
  Data rates: up to 25 Gbps (other places says 3 Gbps)
  Band: 57~67 GHz (depends on national regulation)
  Bandwidth: ~1GHz
  
  
• WiGig
  Data rates: up to 7 Gbps
  Band: 60 GHz
  Bandwidth: ?
  
  
• WHDI (Wireless Home Digital Interface)
  Data rates: up to 3Gbps
  Band: 5GHz unlicensed band
  Bandwidth: 40MHz

So who is going to win for the whole house video? Not WirelessHD or WiGig as they are using 60GHz which does not go through walls; in fact it is none to happy about going through air with water vapor in it.. So WHDI  is the winner by default, right? No so fast. WHDI  uses the 5Ghz and there is a 400 pound gorilla waiting for them (we know him as 802.11n).

As for cable replacement market, please see previously expressed views.

Get the popcorn and an easy-chair, and set back and watch these technologies go nowhere slowly as the Standards Wars are waged as an aside.

60 GHz Cable Replacement Going Some Place?

There was no new buzz from the 60 GHz Cable Replacement guys. OK, SiBeam was showing off there new chip and Best Buy buying into SiBeam is cool, but the EE Times report that "Wireless video: warming up, far from hot", was not reassuring. By-the-way, the "other" UWB technology is "WirelessUSB is not hot" according the the same report. I wonder why, besides overprice Monster anything, the cable replacement guys think there is a market to replace a $10 cable with with $150 box+2 $10 cables. Other than a very nitch business/geek market, it seems they got nothing.